tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post8604587440869245595..comments2024-03-29T13:05:30.522+05:30Comments on Rapid Uplift: Weather Ain't The Same As Climate Mr. AiyarSuvrat Kherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18281172632784780810noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post-36054978392984194972009-12-16T13:05:33.476+05:302009-12-16T13:05:33.476+05:30well put Hariwell put HariSuvrat Kherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18281172632784780810noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post-27675444859338017222009-12-15T11:04:11.815+05:302009-12-15T11:04:11.815+05:30This is very well and clearly said. You clean out ...This is very well and clearly said. You clean out the drains before the monsoon not because you know what day they will arrive but because you know they will likely arrive (unless the changing climate cancels them!) In our current situation, I would think the conservative approach would be to do something serious about climate change. I see many people looking for excuses to do nothing or very little.Hari Battihttp://www.greenlightdhaba.orgnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post-13846450660348283812009-12-15T09:51:23.277+05:302009-12-15T09:51:23.277+05:30Even the researchers whose work indicate uncertain...Even the researchers whose work indicate uncertainty in future hurricane frequency trends don't - according to that post - dispute that the current increase observed in Atlantic hurricane frequency is due to increased sea surface temp which most work indicates is due to anthropogenic induced warming. <br /><br />Also there is still a lot of uncertainty about ENSO future variability trends according to the IPCC models.<br /><br />I guess we can keep quibbling about this for ever.. :)Suvrat Kherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18281172632784780810noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post-80638719279970210202009-12-15T09:25:08.831+05:302009-12-15T09:25:08.831+05:30I am not comfortable with their reasoning. Based o...I am not comfortable with their reasoning. Based on the research, they conclude that (a) There is anthropological global warming, and (b) There will be increased frequency of TC in Atlantic in the coming years. However, they jump to another conclusion that "(a) is the cause of (b)", although in the main body of article itself they have identified ENSO as a dominant variable in TC frequency. They seem to be treating coincidence as causation.Ambuj Saxenahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14310488321227129414noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post-34601584465057410482009-12-15T09:05:28.276+05:302009-12-15T09:05:28.276+05:30Ambuj- as I understand the two don't have to c...Ambuj- as I understand the two don't have to change in a similar manner. take a look <a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/05/climate-change-and-tropical-cyclones-yet-again/" rel="nofollow">at this article</a> which lays out the complexity. link to primary research also there.Suvrat Kherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18281172632784780810noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post-19351095622758561212009-12-15T08:28:24.013+05:302009-12-15T08:28:24.013+05:30I guess I have to take the assertion at face value...I guess I have to take the assertion at face value because it is counter-intuitive.Ambuj Saxenahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14310488321227129414noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post-42804916640810885162009-12-15T08:25:24.935+05:302009-12-15T08:25:24.935+05:30Ambuj- For the north Atlantic basin the model resu...Ambuj- For the north Atlantic basin the model results are equivocal on the frequency but agree that intensity will increase. that coupled with sea-level rise would mean greater impact on coastal cities.Suvrat Kherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18281172632784780810noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post-86355265022235754812009-12-15T01:48:10.142+05:302009-12-15T01:48:10.142+05:30nothing unexpected from a Cato institute membernothing unexpected from a Cato institute memberBalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07378233879302227763noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post-79445745818075409862009-12-15T01:09:07.545+05:302009-12-15T01:09:07.545+05:30This is strange and very very unexpected from some...This is strange and very very unexpected from someone of Mr. Aiyar's background. Surely being an economist he knows about statistical models and large scale predictions and things like that. <br /><br />I have no idea, but i will venture a guess that even macroeconomics is built on somewhat similar platform...<br /><br />Disappointing to say the least.avikhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02805604777976238313noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5859094080858570248.post-35564117085354344052009-12-14T22:52:28.508+05:302009-12-14T22:52:28.508+05:30From what I know about Global Warming, wouldn'...From what I know about Global Warming, wouldn't it reduce the temperature gradient between the tropics and the poles, thereby reducing the number of violent hurricanes and storms?Ambuj Saxenahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14310488321227129414noreply@blogger.com